All three broad stock market indices (DOW, S&P 500, and NASDAQ) made new weekly highs today, so our bearish divergence signal from yesterday is negated. We are seeing a hefty bullish rally today. It will become more bullish if the DOW and S&P 500 can close the week above their June 28 highs (31,885 and 3,945, respectively).
Gold prices have stabilized and are holding above $1700, and silver is staying above $18. This reluctance to fall lower is being supported by a sharp correction down in the U.S. Dollar Index. The greenback is in the early stage of a new medium-term cycle and has been very bullish over the last several weeks. It is due for a sub-cycle correction, however, which may be happening now. Nevertheless, the overall trend of the dollar is still quite bullish, so I suspect this corrective drop will be short-term. When the dollar starts to rally again, it should put more downward pressure on the precious metals.
We remain on the sidelines of the broad stock market and precious metals.