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Trading Blog Monday, Nov. 19, 2012

12/27/2012

 
TRADE ALERT :  We are going to reinstate 1/2 of our long positions in silver after having sold them last Thursday.  There are very strong short-term bullish signals appearing now for silver (and gold) and it is thought there is a good chance of a short but significant rally here.  We will still be carefully watching to sell short this market, probably within the next two weeks, if strong bear signals appear.

The broad stock market rallied strongly today and may rise into the holiday (this is typical holiday week behavior) but we are holding our short positions as the bearish signals are still very strong.  We are also in a time period when market prices can be very erratic (this ends Nov. 27) so sudden rallies may not get very far before turning down again.

Speaking of sudden rallies, crude oil prices jumped up almost $2.00 today on the news of escalating conflicts in the Middle East.  As mentioned in our last blog post, war in the Middle East can be a wild card that interferes with our normal technical analysis of the price of oil.  Because technical signals are still mostly bearish, we continue to stand aside this market for now.

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